{"id":33416,"date":"2026-04-14T14:41:49","date_gmt":"2026-04-14T12:41:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lgh-associes.ch\/?p=33416"},"modified":"2026-04-16T10:42:32","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T08:42:32","slug":"we-remain-positive-on-equity-markets-and-recommend-buying-the-current-correction-in-financial-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lgh-associes.ch\/en\/we-remain-positive-on-equity-markets-and-recommend-buying-the-current-correction-in-financial-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"WE REMAIN POSITIVE ON EQUITY MARKETS AND RECOMMEND BUYING THE CURRENT CORRECTION IN FINANCIAL MARKETS."},"content":{"rendered":"

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u25aa We remain positive on equity markets and recommend buying the current correction. The war in Iran represents a temporary geopolitical shock, not a structural turning point for financial markets.<\/p>\n

\u25aa The Iranian army has lost air supremacy, and its capabilities are being systematically degraded. Iran will not control the Strait of Hormuz for long. We expect a negotiated end to the conflict in the weeks ahead of a sharp decline.<\/p>\n

\u25aa The U.S. Supreme Court has struck down the administration’s trade tariffs as unconstitutional. Effective tariff rates are expected to fall below 10% once only the statutory tariffs under Sections 232 and 301 remain in effect.<\/p>\n

\u25aa Private lending (non-bank credit) does not present a systemic risk comparable to the subprime mortgage crisis of 2008. The market is smaller, better underfunded and far less leveraged.<\/p>\n

\u25aa The expected appointment of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chairman should be positive for the US dollar and bond markets. Markets should benefit from lower interest rates for most of 2027. The US mid-term elections in November 2026 present an increasing probability of a Democratic majority in the House (85% according to the forecast markets). A divided Congress has historically been a positive environment for financial markets.<\/p>\n

\u25aa The current market correction is a buying opportunity. We expect the markets to end the year well above current levels. Investors who bought during the US tariff crisis in 2025 did very well. We expect the same now.<\/p>\n

PREFACE<\/strong><\/p>\n

Although geopolitical risk is the focus of all media attention, investors must remember that their attention must remain focused on the long-term fundamentals of the companies
\nin which they invest, as well as on the valuation of the securities they will hold. Geopolitical risks rarely have a lasting impact on asset prices.<\/p>\n

This was seen with the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the start of the war in Ukraine in 2022, the October 7, 2023 attacks on Israel, and with the announcement of new US trade tariffs in April 2025. All these events followed the same pattern. Investor confidence plummeted, stock prices corrected, economists and analysts reduced economic growth and corporate earnings expectations. Analysts debated the implications of the “new paradigm” the world had entered.<\/p>\n

Yet in each case, the financial markets recovered their losses within a few weeks. Investors who panicked and sold risky assets ended up regretting their decision. We believe that this time will be no exception, and that soon the situation in Iran will no longer be the main preoccupation of the financial markets. By now, investors also have a better understanding of Donald Trump. They know that he can make outrageous comments to force the other side to come up with a better proposal. His comments about the US ending the war and other countries taking over the Strait of Hormuz are part of this pattern. Investors also know that Trump has a short attention span and is more attached to the “image” of deals than their real substance. In 2025, investors who ignored the noise of Trump’s statements outperformed those who made decisions based on his latest pronouncements. We expect the same in 2026.<\/p>\n

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For the rest of the article, please contact us.<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n

This is not an investment recommendation, but our opinion. Consult your advisor before investing! <\/span><\/span><\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY \u25aa We remain positive on equity markets and recommend buying the current correction. The war in Iran represents a temporary geopolitical shock, not a structural turning point for financial markets. \u25aa The Iranian army has lost air supremacy, and its capabilities are being systematically degraded. Iran will not control the Strait of Hormuz […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":33423,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33416","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-financial-news"],"yoast_head":"\nOUTLOOK FOR THE FINANCIAL MARKET<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Each new year is an opportunity to perform a new assessment of the world\u2019s economic and political situation, to evaluate what could stay the same and what could change, and try to identify risks and opportunities in the financial markets\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"OUTLOOK FOR THE FINANCIAL MARKET\" \/>\n<meta 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